Weather Trends International has released its Winter 2013-2014 weather outlook, and the weather guidance firm is predicting a higher snowfall outlook and colder temperature outlook than last year’s season.
According to Weather Trends International, the statistics and climate index similarities suggest the 2013-2014 winter will be similar to 1962-1963 which brought the 6th coldest January in over 118 years and copious snowfall. The factors considered were a proprietary statistical forecasting technique, Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy index, ENSO neutral phase, 30-year cold-intensifying Pacific Decadal Oscillation Cycle and a weak 100 year solar cycle which all indicate a winter similar to 1962-1963, according to Weather Trends.
Based on those leading indications, Weather Trends outlined its top 10 predictions for the upcoming winter:
1. Nor’easters will be more frequent, bringing the snowiest winter in three years with 35% more snow than last year and much above average.
2. Temperatures across the Eastern U.S. will trend 3-6 degrees colder than last winter, making it the coldest winter in three years with below average temperatures.
3. Major widespread cold snaps are likely in middle December, middle January and early February.
4. The West will trend the warmest in four to eight years but snow and rain are still likely to make headlines in the Pacific Northwest with twice as much snow as last year.
5. Parts of California are likely to have the wettest conditions in nine years bringing the threat for at least one major flooding/mud slide event this winter.
6. The Southwest may escape winter’s wrath with the warmest conditions in eight years and 31% below average snowfall.
7. A drought may begin to develop in the Southeast by late winter.
8. A major freeze is possible in Florida in late January and early February.
9. Winter seasonal merchandise sales will experience the best winter in three years with sales up 20% to 100% in the Eastern U.S. with snow accessories up 250% or more. However, overall retail sales and store traffic will be severely hampered.
10. Home heating bills will be up 15% to 30% in the East but down as much in the West, further eating into consumers’ discretionary spending going into 2014.